Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Now a HIGH RISK


...CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THE ARKLATEX/EXTREME SE OKLAHOMA... LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS HAVE BECOME MAXIMIZED ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS...WHERE SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET IN WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS NEAR 70F...REMAINS STRONG. 40+ KT 850 SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY STRENGTHEN FURTHER THROUGH EARLY EVENING...AS UPSTREAM IMPULSE CONTINUES SOUTHEAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO WEST TEXAS. WEAK IMPULSE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SUBTROPICAL STREAM MAY AID LARGE SCALE FORCING...AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST OF THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AND...TORNADIC POTENTIAL...INCLUDING THE RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES...APPEARS LIKELY TO BECOME HIGH WITH DISCRETE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING AHEAD OF BROKEN SQUALL LINE ADVANCING THROUGH CENTRAL/EASTERN TEXAS.

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