Updated TAE Hazardous Weather Outlook

.spotter information statement...
spotter activation will be required this afternoon and tonight.
spotters should consider themselves activated at the first issuance
of a watch or warning.

...significant severe weather event expected this afternoon and
tonight across the region...

this hazardous weather outlook is for southeast alabama...the
florida big bend and eastern panhandle...southwest and south
central georgia...and adjacent gulf of mexico waters.

.day one...this afternoon and tonight.
there is a moderate risk of severe weather for this afternoon and
evening across southeast alabama...the florida panhandle and
portions of southwest georgia...with a slight risk to the east of
this area. a potent storm system located over the lower mississippi
valley late this morning will east and northeast across the gulf
coast states. strong southerly winds will transport warm moist
unstable air northward across the risk areas this afternoon and
evening. a squall line from central mississippi to eastern louisiana
will push eastward across the central gulf coast states this
afternoon...with scattered thunderstorms expected to develop ahead
of this squall line over portions of southeast alabama and the
florida panhandle this afternoon. the squall line will move into
southwest georgia and the western big bend this evening...and south
central georgia and the eastern big bend overnight.

the main threats from these storms will damaging straight line wind
gusts up to 70 mph and isolated tornadoes. a few of the storms could
produce large hail. residents are strongly encouraged to monitor the
latest updates from the national weather service on this developing
weather situation.